> Given our best current data, the AI self-improvement loop would need to be roughly 5–10× stronger to sustain itself, let alone run away.

— [Ramez Naam, “Where's the ‘intelligence explosion’?” on Noahpinion](https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/wheres-the-intelligence-explosion), via [Nathan Lambert (@natolambert)](https://x.com/natolambert/status/2104661323003166955).